Ari Wallach's 'Longpath' Groundbreaking Roadmap to Transformative Long-Term Thinking

Ari Wallach's "Longpath" offers a refreshing perspective on long-term thinking in an age of instant gratification. This thought-provoking book challenges readers to become "great ancestors" by adopting a future-focused mindset. Wallach's innovative approach provides a powerful antidote to the pervasive short-termism plaguing modern society.

Discover how to reshape your thinking and impact future generations – dive into Wallach's "Longpath" and unlock your potential as a visionary ancestor.

Genres

Technology and the Future, Society, Culture, Philosophy, History, Business Decision Making, Decision-Making and Problem Solving, Happiness Self-Help

Summary

"Longpath" introduces a revolutionary framework for long-term thinking and decision-making. Wallach argues that our current short-term focus hinders progress and jeopardizes future generations. He proposes three key principles: transgenerational empathy, futures thinking, and telos thinking. These concepts encourage readers to consider the impact of their actions on future generations, envision multiple potential futures, and align their choices with a higher purpose.

The book explores how individuals and organizations can apply the Longpath approach to various aspects of life, from personal relationships to global challenges. Wallach shares compelling examples and case studies, demonstrating how this mindset shift can lead to more sustainable and fulfilling outcomes.

He emphasizes the importance of developing a "Great Ancestors" mentality, urging readers to consider their legacy and the world they'll leave behind. The author also addresses common obstacles to long-term thinking, such as cognitive biases and societal pressures, offering practical strategies to overcome these barriers.

Review

"Longpath" presents a timely and crucial message in an era dominated by short-term thinking. Wallach's writing style is engaging and accessible, making complex concepts easy to grasp. The book's strength lies in its practical approach, providing readers with actionable steps to implement long-term thinking in their lives.

While the ideas presented are not entirely new, Wallach's synthesis and presentation of these concepts offer a fresh perspective. The numerous real-world examples and case studies effectively illustrate the potential impact of adopting a Longpath mindset.

Some readers might find certain sections repetitive, and the book could benefit from more diverse global perspectives. Additionally, the implementation of Longpath thinking on a societal level might seem daunting, and more detailed strategies for large-scale adoption would have been welcome.

Despite these minor drawbacks, "Longpath" remains a valuable resource for anyone seeking to break free from short-term thinking patterns. It challenges readers to consider their place in history and their responsibility to future generations. The book's message is particularly relevant for leaders, policymakers, and individuals looking to make a lasting positive impact on the world.

Overall, "Longpath" offers a compelling argument for adopting a more future-oriented mindset. Its potential to inspire meaningful change makes it a worthwhile read for those interested in personal growth, leadership, and creating a better future for generations to come.

Longpath (2022) is written to change the way you think about humankind. By teaching the lessons of the Longpath mentality, it shows how to break the bad habit of short-term thinking and embrace a mentality that helps connect humanity’s past, present, and future in order to make a better world.

Introduction: Discover how to reshape your thinking to enrich your life and help generations to come.

When you hear the word “futurist,” the Iroquois Confederacy probably isn’t the first thing that comes to mind. But these First Nations people were futurists in their own right, albeit more than half a millenia in the past.

The Iroquois were long-term thinkers. Their founding document implored them to consider the welfare of the entire community in each decision they made. It also urged them to think about the impact of their choices on the coming generations.

The author and academic, Ari Wallach, wants us to embrace what he calls the the “Longpath mentality.” This approach is quite similar to the thinking of the Iroquois. Reimagining our wisdom can help us build a better future now; one that replaces short-term thinking with a forward-looking vision of humanity.

The impact of our choices today will reverberate far into the future, from the environmental impact of our cars, to the way our parenting style will affect how our children interact with their children. To better consider these long-term consequences, we need to broaden and lengthen our perspective.

By embracing the Longpath mentality, we can enrich our own lives, and help make the world a more harmonious place. This summary will cover why Longpath is well-suited to the present moment. It will also explain how we can alter our thinking to change the world, and how we can put those thoughts into practice.

Given our present challenges, humanity needs a new way to think about the world

Humanity is in the midst of an Intertidal – a term author Ari Wallach uses to represent a crucial period of monumental change.

And when we say crucial, we mean Enlightenment and Industrial Revolution-level crucial. The kind of seismic shifts that alter the world for centuries. So, if we are currently in the middle of an Intertidal, how did we get here?

Globalization is one reason. Climate change is another, as is the rapid pace of changes in technology. But it’s more than just these forces. It’s a marked shift in cultural attitudes, too. The way people have thought about the world for generations is shifting.

The influence of organized religion is waning, and there’s a contest to determine what might take its place. Foundational ideas of freedom, justice, and equality are being reconsidered through a 21st century lens.

This moment presents a unique opportunity to rewrite the rules of civilization. This may sound a bit jarring, but it doesn’t have to be.

It’s true, Intertidals are chaotic. But it’s precisely this chaos that creates a unique opportunity for lasting change. According to Nobel Laureate and complexity theorist Ilya Prigogine, systems often shift from periods of immense chaos to order and equilibrium. Whether this new equilibrium is better or worse than the present is up to us.

Some Intertidals represent a step backward, like the collapse of the Roman Empire that ushered in the bleakness of the Middle Ages. This is probably not something we want to repeat. Others, like the Scientific Revolution, have helped propel humanity forward.

So, how do we turn the chaos of today into a better world? We must reject short-termism, and instead embrace our capacity for empathy, cooperation, and looking ahead. We must understand that our choices today will have ripple effects for generations. We must accept our role in the broader story of humanity.

By adopting the Longpath mentality, we can lead happier lives. But Longpath isn’t simply about self-improvement. It’s also about building a better future for posterity.

If we reject toxic short-term thinking and prioritize the future, we can achieve both. Here’s how to build a future our descendants will thank us for.

Short-term thinking is counter-productive, and must be replaced by long-term considerations

Society is awash with short-term thinking. Part of this is natural, as humans have an instinctual desire to take advantage of immediate benefits in order to survive. This may have served hunter-gatherers well, but today, this instinct is often a hindrance.

This harmful kind of short-termism afflicts individuals, societies, and the systems around us. It’s what compels people to eat unhealthy foods, businesses to pollute the environment, and developers to build entire neighborhoods in flood-prone regions.

In many ways, technology has only made short-term thinking more pervasive. Consider the effect of social media on the way many adolescents behave. Kids have always had the desire to be liked and to fit in with their peers. Today, however, a young person’s social standing is usually measured in likes, clicks, and views.

Each thumbs up or thumbs down emoji floods the brain with chemicals, filling a person with momentary pleasure or anguish. Chasing this kind of instant feedback is no way to develop the habits that make someone a productive, empathetic member of society.

Luckily, there is a three step method we all can use to recognize and disrupt this and other kinds of short-term thinking.

First, pay attention to how the bad habit of short-term thinking makes you feel. Consider how your actions affect your mood and the impact they have on others. For example, if that tweet you just sent isn’t going to be of use to anyone in a week, a month, or a year, then it probably wasn’t necessary.

Second, believe you can do better. New research has shown that the brain is more changeable than previously thought. This neuroplasticity means that simply changing our mentality about something can put us on the path to positive change. For example, if we think that we can become a better student, parent, or partner, this makes it more likely that we actually will.

Third, cultivate your Longpath mentality. Developing feelings of gratitude, awe, and empathy are especially important. These emotions allow us to better connect with others, including our ancestors and posterity. So, take a moment to marvel at a classic work of art, or consider the sacrifices your grandparents must have made for their descendants.

Exercises like these foster an appreciation for others. Doing so helps us ward off short-term thinking and allows us to focus on making decisions that have a lasting positive impact.

To build a better world, we need to cultivate transgenerational empathy

In the previous section, we explained the Longpath mentality. Now, we’re going to explain the role of empathy in our new way of thinking.

To achieve the Longpath mentality, transgenerational empathy is key. This simply means recognizing the connections between humanity’s past, present, and future, and caring about how our actions today will help reshape the world. When we practice this kind of empathy, it becomes easier to shift from short-termism to long-term objectives.

How can we practice this mentality? First, we must have empathy for our ancestors. This means acknowledging that the past has helped shape who we are today. It also requires grappling with the uglier parts of human history in order to learn and grow.

Consider South Africa’s Truth and Reconciliation Commission. Rather than hiding from the horrors of racial apartheid, South Africa confronted them. The commission allowed survivors to tell their stories, and enabled the guilty parties to accept responsibility, seek forgiveness, and move forward. This example illustrates how honesty and compassion can join forces to lead to healing.

The second ingredient is self-compassion. This means understanding that we are imperfect. It also requires understanding that we have the capacity to do better. Instead of becoming defensive when we mess up, we can own up to our mistakes and learn from them.

To complete transgenerational empathy, we also need to consider generations to come. We impact the future, even the distant future, through our legacies. When we consider posterity in our present choices, we can leave a positive legacy for our descendants.

It’s important to understand that this kind of empathy can happen at levels large and small. Some countries, like Sweden, have a Ministry of the Future. Some companies like Amazon leave an empty chair at board meetings as a symbol of posterity. Some families reserve a spot at the dinner table for the next generation. All these gestures represent a vital regard for the future, and the people who will inhabit it.

The “official future” is flawed – we must embrace intentional and inclusive thinking to forge a better future

Empathy for the next generation helps us care about what happens in the future. But how do we need to think about the future in order to make it better?

Every culture is bombarded with ideas of what the future is supposed to look like. Art, literature, and politics all indicate which way the world is supposedly headed. Scholars refer to these narratives as the “official future.”

But the truth is, society can’t be pigeonholed into one official future. We have to instead understand that many possible paths lie ahead of us. We can choose where we’re headed, not have the future of civilization foisted upon us.

Once we establish our power to shape the future, we have to be intentional in our thinking. It isn’t enough to say what we don’t want, like the dystopias in works of science fiction. We have to think creatively enough to envision the world that we do want. These potential worlds are called the examined, desired futures.

In addition to intentionality, we also need inclusive thinking. We need to imagine a world where all people have the opportunity to flourish, where success is measured by more than material welfare, and where the interests of generations to come are considered, too.

To better understand what this kind of thinking means in practice, let’s consider the village of Hogewey, near Amsterdam. On the surface, Hogewey resembles any other village. There are houses, shops, restaurants, and public parks. Seems pretty ordinary, right?

What makes Hogewey extraordinary is that it’s a community for people with Alzheimers’ disease. Rather than putting patients in glorified hospitals, the staff and volunteers at Hogewey allow its residents to maintain normality in their lives, despite their condition.

Hogewey defied the official future that said Alzheimers’ patients must be confined to nursing homes. Its founder, Yvonne van Amerongen, chose to think intentionally and inclusively about a place where residents’ dignity was a top priority. This is what an examined, desired future looks like in practice.

To change the world for our descendants, we need to cooperate with one another today

Adopting the Longpath mentality on our own is great. In order to reshape the future for generations, though, we need to work together now.

To scale up the Longpath mentality above the individual level, we have to affect our unique spheres of influence. This includes influencing our families, friends, and colleagues.

Here are four strategies for Longpath cooperation: vision, conversation, facilitation, and ways of being. Let’s discuss each in turn.

Having a novel vision of the future can help shake up the status quo. As far-fetched as your vision may seem, it might inspire someone to make it a reality. You know that iPhone in everyone’s pocket? According to Steve Jobs, it was inspired, in part, by the futuristic video-calling technology of Star Trek and The Jetsons.

If you’re not exactly the visionary type, simply starting a conversation can work, too. Whether it’s around the dinner table, the conference room, or anywhere else, don’t be afraid to discuss how to make the world a better place. Just make sure to speak and listen with empathy.

If you can, you might even consider facilitating a forum for exchanging ideas. This might seem daunting, but it’s possible. In 2008, Aruba brought together 50,000 residents to discuss the future and develop a national strategy for sustainability. You might develop a program on a smaller scale in your own community.

We can also foster connection and cooperation through our small, day-to-day actions. These subtle ways of being can cause chain reactions that have big impacts. So, try to be polite and gracious to others. Make eye contact when you speak to someone. Strike up a friendly conversation with your neighbor. Do things to give people the sense that we’re in this together – because we are.

Summary

The decisions we make today, both individually and collectively, are going to shape humanity’s future. In order to build a better world, we must reject short-termism and embrace a new way of thinking, known as Longpath. This new mentality will be oriented toward long-term human flourishing. To achieve this, we must become more empathetic. Toward our ancestors, toward posterity, and even toward our own shortcomings. We must also be creative and inclusive in the way we address some of the world’s most pressing problems like hunger, disease, and climate change. If we work together, we can design a future that will make the coming generations proud.

About the author

ARI WALLACH is a futurist and the founder and Executive Director of Longpath Labs. As adjunct associate professor at Columbia University’s School of International and Public Affairs, he lectured on innovation, AI, and the futures of public policy. Wallach’s TED talk on Longpath has been viewed 2.5 million times and translated into 21 languages. He has written for outlets like the BBC and Wired, ran Fast Company magazine’s “FactCo Futures with Ari Wallach,” and has been featured in The New Times, Yahoo Finance, CNBC, CNN, Vox, and more. www.longpath.org

Table of Contents

Prologue 1
Chapter 1 Living What Longpath Is and Why We Need It 5
Chapter 2 Changing How What Worked Then Won't Work Now 37
Chapter 3 Practicing Looking Backward, Inward, and Forward 59
Chapter 4 Creating Futures and How We Make Them 97
Chapter 5 Flourishing Working Together for a Better World 135
Epilogue 165
Longpath Megatrends 169
Journal Pages 171
Acknowledgments 179
Notes 183